TODAY’S NEW YORK PRIMARY: EXPECTATIONS

For whatever it is worth, here are my expectations (not predictions, as I always remind readers, but expectations) regarding today’s New York primary:

Republican

I expect Donald Trump to win big over Cruz and Kasich.  I hope (expect would be too strong a word here) that John Kasich finishes second.

Democrat

The polls almost uniformly show that Hillary Clinton will win by 10% or more.  I disbelieve this.  I expect it to be within 5%…..and I would not be surprised if it is Bernie Sanders rather than Hillary Clinton on the up-side.

OK, so much for guessing.  Tonight we’ll know for real.

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