TALKING SENSE ABOUT JOBS

Ken Berwitz


The numbers are in, and they stink.

The unemployment rate has stayed at 5.1% only because still more people have given up looking for work, leaving the job participation rate at a 38 year low.  And what jobs are being created are predominantly being taken by “foreign born” workers – which, I would bet my bottom dollar, is a euphemism for illegal aliens willing to work for less wages and no benefits.

So what does the Fed  have to say about this?  

Well, here, excerpted from Tyler Durden\’s excellent analysis, is how the Atlanta Fed explained the job situation….and what he thinks about it:

The decrease in laborforce participation among prime-age individuals has been driven mostly by the share who say they currently don\’twant a job. As ofDecember 2014, prime-age labor force participation was 2.4 percentage pointsbelow its prerecession average. Of that, 0.5 percentage point is accounted forby a higher share who indicate they currently want a job; 2 percentage pointscan be attributed to a higher share who say they currently don\’t want a job:  (from an analysis provided by the Atlanta Fed)

And there you have it: there are nearly 100 millionworking-age Americans who could be in the labor force, but are not “mostly” because they don\’t want a job.

Nothing about the lack of job demand as mega corporationscontinue to lay workers off in droves insteadof hiring, instead using every last dollar of free cash flow tobuyback their own stock to boost executive compensation instead of growingtheir company and hire more workers.

Nothing aboutthe collapse in small business formation – that driver of 80% of US employment -as firm exit rates are now greater than firm entry rates

Nothing aboutthe inability to get a job in a world in which the rest of

the global is lapping the US in educational and labor skills.

Nothing aboutthe US economy never having left the post-2008 depression where $4.5 trillionin Fed credit was created just to boost the S&P to all time highs and nevermaking it to the actual economy (until the helicopters finally startparadropping of course)

Nothing aboutmillions of aging, 55 and over, Americans refusing to retire or quit their jobsimply because they have no return on their savings to fall back on thank tothe Fed\’s ZIRP, thus keeping the labor pipeline clogged and preventing youngerAmericans from getting promoted and achieving better paying jobs.

Nothing abouta Millennial generation encumbered with $1 trillion in debt, that is soterrified of its job prospects and having to pay down its debt, it chooseinstead to keep rolling and piling on to this debt by remaining in collegeindefinitely

Nothing aboutthe perverted incentive structure of a welfare state that makes it moreattractive to collect generous governmenthandouts which end up punishing hard work.

None of that.

Exactly.

We are so screwed.  And under this administration – which, after 7 years of “transforming” the USA into a part time workers and illegals taking jobs legals can\’t compete for, is still blaming George Bush for the economy – it will not change.  

I count the seconds until they are out of office….and hope to God it is not too late for us.
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