THE HILLARY EVITABILITY WATCH

January 11, 2016
by Ken Berwitz
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Ken Berwitz


The just-released Investors Business Daily (IBD/TIPP) poll shows that Hillary Clinton is dropping like a rock, while Bernard “Bernie” Sanders, who gets about one tenth the media attention Ms. Clinton does, is surging.  

Excerpted from John Merline\’s article for Investors Business Daily:

With just 21 days untilthe presidential primaries officially begin in Iowa, Hillary Clinton\’s supportamong Democrats nationally has taken a serious tumble, falling eight points to43%, according to the latest IBD/TIPP Poll. Support for her chief rival, BernieSanders, climbed six points to 39%.

As a result, Clinton\’slead over Sanders, which had been 18 points, is now just 4 points.

Other polls have shownthe race tightening in Iowa, which holds its caucuses on Feb. 1, and NewHampshire, which has its primary eight days later. Two recent New Hampshiresurveys have Sanders in the lead, andthe latest NBC poll in Iowa has Sanders just three points behind Clinton.

Clinton, in response to her sagging poll numbers, has started to turn upthe heat on Sanders, after all but ignoring the self-described socialist whosemaverick campaign has been surprisingly resilient. CNN reported over theweekend that “a sense of anxiety is cascading through Hillary Clinton\’scampaign” over Sanders\’ gains.

Regionally, Clinton saw her support drop most in theNortheast (where it fell to 36% from 50%) and the West (37% down from 49%).Sanders now holds the lead in both places. Clinton support also tumbled amongsuburban voters, dropping to 39% from last a month\’s 50%. And she has lostbacking among moderate Democrats, falling to 44% from 58%. Sanders picked up 10points among moderates, to 37%.

 If a political nonentity like Bernie Sanders, with a tiny fraction of Hillary Clinton\’s resources and little in the way of media attention, can make this kind of a move on her, just how much of a candidate will Ms. Clinton be if she winds up the Republican nominee.

And how would she do compared to Joe “I regret not running every day” Biden – who, at any time, can tell us that his family is on board with a run and he belatedly jumping in to save the Democrat Party from a crushing defeat?  

Even more importantly to the nomination process, what would Democrat primary voters think about this?

My next blog is going to detail extremely damaging information, which is newly obtained from the latest batch of emails being released in drip-drip-drip fashion by the State Department (another huge error by Clinton\’s people – because if they had all come out in one lump this could have been characterized as “old news by now).  Trust me, they are not going to help Ms. Clinton\’s sagging numbers.

Hillary Clinton is a bad candidate who, if she were running as a man rather than as “The First Woman President\’ carrot-and-stick, would have been laughed out of the race long ago. 

Ms. Clinton\’s problem is that, other than for the people who will unconditionally support her (and I do not deny that is a substantial plurality) the more voters know about her, the less her plumbing is going to matter.

And as the emails drip-drip-drip out, we know more about her all the time.

I used to end blogs about Hillary Clinton by saying “Hillary Clinton inevitable?  Believe me, she\’s evitable”.  Once Joe Biden surprised us by dropping out, I stopped doing so, because it changed circumstances so decidedly in her favor.  But, at that time, I also speculated that Biden\’s “I\’m not running” speech was not different from what he would have said if he was running.  So it was possible that he could get back in. 
Here is the beginning of my October 22nd blog:

What you are about to read is not a prediction.  It is an observation.

As I watched this morning\’s Today Show, and heard, I think, the third different person note that Joe Biden\’s  “I\’m not running” speech could, word for word, have been his “I am running” speech (my family would have supported me, I know what the next President has to do, I am not endorsing anyone at this time, certainly not Hillary Clinton, but there\’s just not enough time to put together a campaign)…

…it occurred to me that, if a number of major players in the Democrat Party – maybe a few senators and governors, with a few major unions – were to petition him to run, and assure him they could put together a viable campaign….

…the exact same words he spoke could be used to reconsider and get into the race, “by popular demand”.

I wonder…..

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