Here is the beginning of yesterday\’s article by politico.com\’s Alex Isenstadt:
Tepidfundraising, underperforming candidates and a lousy party brand arethreatening to deprive House Republicans of the sweeping 2014 gainsthat some top party officials have been predicting this year.
And then we have this, today, from Guy Benson of hotair.com:
Brandnew numbers from a fresh Politico/GWUnationwidesurvey – all of which are among likely voters, with apartisan sample of 41/40/17 (D/R/I):
(1)Republicans hold a four-point lead (43/39) on the genericCongressional ballot, a measure that traditionally favors Democrats. Including leaners, the margin is unchanged (46/42). Republicans have a strong edge on this question amongindependent (+15) and middle class voters (+11). And thenthere\’s this, with all the obvious caveats about the reliability ofsmall sub-samples firmly in place:
“Instates with a competitive US Senate race, Republicans hold a sixteenpoint advantage (52%-36%) on this generic ballot.”I suspect 16 percentage points is outside even the most ardentskeptic\’s margin of error.
Uh…..Mr. Isenstadt? Meet Mr. Benson.
And politico.com of September 2? Meet politico.com of Sept. 3.
A lot can happen between now and election day. But if those data are correct, I can assure you Republicans are a lot less worried about “tepid fundraising, underperforming candidates and a lousy party brand” than politico.com\’s Alex Isenstadt thinks they should be. And Democrats are a lot more worried about holding onto the senate.
I wonder if Mr. Isenstadt would like a re-do of that observation, based on his own web site\’s research…..
