Just last month, polls showed that the Republican Party, and Donald Trump in particular, were down the crapper. And I do mean down, as in rock bottom.
But now, a month later, things seem just a bit different.
From Hank Berrien’s article at dailywire.com:
A new Monmouth University Poll, which was taken before President Trump’s State if the Union address, shows 47% of registered voters indicating they would vote for or lean toward voting for the Democratic candidate in their district compared to 45% who would support the Republican. That is an astonishing drop from last month, when a Monmouth poll found the Democrats with an enormous 15-point lead, 51% to 36%.
The shift among the public is also reflected in the poll’s numbers for President Trump; his approval rating last month was at a record low, 32%, but it has leaped to 42%. 55% of voters felt Trump has achieved some success in joining with Congress to pass his legislative agenda; in December that number stood at 42%.
As opposed to December, when only 26% of voters approved of the tax reform plan, with 47% disapproving, the voters are now equally split at 44%. Last month, 50% of voters felt their federal taxes would rise; now only 36% feel that way.
Now that is a significant turnaround.
In December, based at least partly on the Monmouth University poll, some so-called pundits were writing off Republican chances to keep the house, and speculating that the senate might be lost as well.
But, to paraphrase Scarlett O’Hara, January is another month.
So what happened between then and now, that might account for this remarkable surge in the fortunes of Donald Trump and his party?
Tax legislation, anyone?
Look, poll numbers are transitory in nature. For all we know, come February Trump and Republicans will be right back at the bottom of the barrel. But this is where they are now, and legislation that put more money in people’s pockets is why.
Let me end with a note to Democrats and their strategists: if you think hacking away at Republicans over DACA is some kind of political counterbalance to workers all over the country getting bonuses and/or raises, and/or lower taxes out of their paychecks, you’re in worse shape than you think.