A FUNNY THING HAPPENED ON THE WAY TO HILLARY’S INAUGURATION….

Here is every presidential polls reported by realclearpolitics.com from October 20th to the present.  There are 18 them.

Let’s divide them into two sets of 9, and see if we can find any differences:

Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 10/20 – 10/27 47.3 42.1 Clinton +5.2
IBD/TIPP Tracking 10/22 – 10/27 973 LV 3.3 45 42 Clinton +3
LA Times/USC Tracking 10/21 – 10/27 3238 LV 4.5 44 46 Trump +2
ABC News Tracking 10/23 – 10/26 1109 LV 3.0 50 45 Clinton +5
Economist/YouGov 10/22 – 10/26 1209 LV 3.3 49 46 Clinton +3
FOX News 10/22 – 10/25 1221 LV 2.5 49 44 Clinton +5
IBD/TIPP Tracking 10/21 – 10/26 945 LV 3.3 44 42 Clinton +2
LA Times/USC Tracking 10/20 – 10/26 3208 LV 4.5 45 45 Tie
ABC News Tracking 10/21 – 10/24 1119 LV 3.0 51 43 Clinton +8
Pew Research 10/20 – 10/25 2120 RV 2.4 50 43 Clinton +7
CNBC 10/21 – 10/24 LV 47 37 Clinton +10
Reuters/Ipsos 10/20 – 10/24 1170 LV 3.3 43 37 Clinton +6
USA Today/Suffolk 10/20 – 10/24 1000 LV 3.0 49 39 Clinton +10
IBD/TIPP Tracking 10/20 – 10/25 921 LV 3.3 43 41 Clinton +2
LA Times/USC Tracking 10/19 – 10/25 3145 LV 4.5 44 45 Trump +1
Associated Press-GfK 10/20 – 10/24 1212 LV 54 41 Clinton +13
ABC News Tracking 10/20 – 10/23 611 LV 4.5 53 41 Clinton +12
Gravis 10/20 – 10/23 2109 RV 2.1 50 50 Tie
CNN/ORC 10/20 – 10/23 779 LV 3.5 51 45 Clinton +6
             

Hmmmmm, let’s see.

The earlier set of 9 has Hillary Clinton ahead by a cumulative total of 58%.

That averages to a 6.4% lead for Ms. Clinton.  Very imposing.

But the latest set of 9?  They have Hillary Clinton ahead by a cumulative total of 31%.

That averages to a 3.3% lead for Ms. Clinton – about a 50% drop, and a lot less imposing.  It also suggests that the momentum is with Trump.

Does this mean Hillary Clinton is fading and will lose the election?  Nope.  It doesn’t, and can’t, tell us any such thing.

But one thing it does tell us is that Ms. Clinton might want to hold up that champagne order for the inaugural ball.

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