HOW BAD IS HILLARY TANKING?

Ken Berwitz


The previous blog suggested that Hillary Clinton is tanking in Iowa and New Hampshire.

That\’s not enough information.  Let me give you specifics.

Here, from realclearpolitics.com, are all the major polls for Iowa since December…

Polling DataPoll

Date

Sample

MoE

Clinton

Sanders

O\’Malley

Spread

RCP Average

1/2 – 1/10

—

—

45.5

45.3

5.0

Clinton +0.2

Quinnipiac

1/5 – 1/10

492 LV

4.4

44

49

4

Sanders +5

PPP (D)

1/8 – 1/10

580 LV

4.1

46

40

8

Clinton +6

ARG

1/6 – 1/10

400 LV

5.0

44

47

3

Sanders +3

NBC/WSJ/Marist

1/2 – 1/7

422 LV

4.8

48

45

5

Clinton +3

Gravis

12/18 – 12/21

418 LV

5.0

49

31

10

Clinton +18

CBS News/YouGov

12/14 – 12/17

459 LV

8.6

50

45

4

Clinton +5

PPP (D)

12/10 – 12/13

526 LV

4.3

52

34

7

Clinton +18

Des Moines Register

12/7 – 12/10

404 LV

4.9

48

39

4

Clinton +9

FOX News

12/7 – 12/10

357 LV

5.0

50

36

5

Clinton +14

Loras College

12/7 – 12/10

501 LV

4.4

59

27

4

Clinton +32

Quinnipiac

12/4 – 12/13

727 LV

3.6

51

40

6

Clinton +11

Monmouth

12/3 – 12/6

405 LV

4.9

55

33

6

Clinton +22

CNN/ORC

11/28 – 12/6

442 LV

4.5

54

36

4

Clinton +18


And all the major polls for New Hampshire:


Polling DataPoll

Date

Sample

MoE

Sanders

Clinton

O\’Malley

Spread

RCP Average

1/2 – 1/10

—

—

48.8

42.6

3.0

Sanders +6.2

Monmouth

1/7 – 1/10

413 LV

4.8

53

39

5

Sanders +14

ARG

1/7 – 1/10

400 LV

5.0

47

44

3

Sanders +3

FOX News

1/4 – 1/7

386 LV

5.0

50

37

3

Sanders +13

PPP (D)

1/4 – 1/6

480 LV

4.5

44

47

3

Clinton +3

NBC/WSJ/Marist

1/2 – 1/7

425 LV

4.8

50

46

1

Sanders +4

ARG

12/20 – 12/20

600 LV

4.0

43

46

3

Clinton +3

CBS News/YouGov

12/14 – 12/17

458 LV

7.5

56

42

1

Sanders +14

Boston Herald

12/13 – 12/17

410 LV

4.8

48

46


Any questions?

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