WHY OBAMACARE CONTINUES TO FAIL

Ken Berwitz


Let\’s start with these excerpts from Abby Goodnough\’s article about ObamaCare, from yesterday\’s New York Times:

Clint Murphy let thedeadline for getting health insurance bythe new year pass without a second thought.

Mr. Murphy, anengineer in Sulphur Springs, Tex., estimates that under the Affordable Care Act, he will face apenalty of $1,800 for going uninsured in 2016. But in his view, paying thatpenalty is worth it if he can avoid buying an insurance policy that costs$2,900 or more. All he has to do is stay healthy.

“I don\’t see the logicbehind that, and I\’m just not going to do it,” said Mr. Murphy, 45, who becameuninsured in April after leaving a job with health benefits to pursue contractwork. “The fine is still going to be cheaper.”

Two years after theAffordable Care Act began requiring most Americans to have health insurance,10.5 million who are eligible to buy coverage through the law\’s new insuranceexchanges were still uninsured this fall, according to the Obama administration.

That number appears tobe shrinking: Administration officials said last month that about 2.5 millionnew customers had bought insurance through HealthCare.gov,the federal exchange serving 38 states, since open enrollment began on Nov. 1.The number of new enrollees is 29 percent higher than last year at this time,suggesting that the threat of a larger penalty may be motivating more people toget covered.

But plenty of healthyholdouts remain, and their resistance helps explain why insurers are worriedabout the financial viability of the exchanges over time. They say they sorelyneed more healthy customers to balance out the costs of covering the sicker, olderpeople who have flocked to exchange plans.

Many holdouts have made theirdecisions after meticulously comparing the cost of insurance premiums anddeductibles with paying for doctor appointments, lab tests and prescriptionsthemselves. For some healthy people, the combined cost of premiums anddeductibles, which can exceed $10,000, makes the penalty seem a better deal.

Now let\’s think about what this means.

If Clint Murphy stays healthy, paying the $1,800 fine – a punitive amount if you ask me – still saves him $1,100 this year.  

But if Mr. Murphy should become sick, and require a great deal more in benefit costs than the premium he has avoided — even with the enormous multi-thousand dollar deductibles most ObamaCare plans have – since ObamaCare allows him to buy in with an existing condition, he can then join up and get coverage anyway.

Little wonder he\’s opting out and paying the fine.

As the article points out, ObamaCare sorely needs more healthy customers to balance out the costs of covering the sicker, older people who have signed on (not to mention the people who can\’t afford and are therefore subsidized by our tax money, and the illegals who shouldn\’t even be getting it but, you can bet, are anyway).  

Are you surprised by this?  Or the fact that healthy people are not running to sign up?  I would hope not.

Didn\’t it always stand to reason that sicker, older people, who would be most likely to get the greatest $$$ benefits from ObamaCare, would sign up the soonest?  And that younger, healthier people, least likely to get $$$ benefits, but charged high premiums with huge deductibles to to subsidize the sicker, older people, would be the least likely to sign up?  Did anyone realistically expect that this would work any differently?

That is ObamaCare.  And that is why it is in its current state….which, to say the least, ain\’t good.
Should all people be able to get reasonably good health care?  Sure.  

Was this happening efficiently before ObamaCare?  No. 

 But…and this is the big question…does that mean ObamaCare was the answer?  Obviously not.

Look, ObamaCare is not going to be repealed  Like it or don\’t, that\’s not in the cards.  

But it better be significantly revamped in a way that makes far more sense than its current incarnation.  And fast.

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