As things now stand, it appears – subject to significant legal challenges, let’s not forget – that Joe Biden (or, more exactly, the people pulling his strings) will succeed Donald Trump as President of the United States.
That is the answer to who won the 2020 election
But that is not the answer to which party won the 2020 election.
Last week, we discussed the fact that Republicans, despite Biden’s apparent victory, have had a hugely successful election, based on the fact that they now dominate control of how the individual states will be redistricted for the next ten years.
Now, Nathaniel Rakich and Elena Mejia, writing for fivethirtyeight.com, have put together an analysis of just how significant this Republican victory was.
Here is the key part of their commentary, with an accompanying chart, that brings this reality home with crystal clarity:
Both parties went into the election with a chance to draw more congressional districts than the other, but the end result was just about the best-case scenario for Republicans. As the map below shows, Republicans are set to control the redistricting of 188 congressional seats — or 43 percent of the entire House of Representatives. By contrast, Democrats will control the redistricting of, at most, 73 seats, or 17 percent.
How did Republicans pull that off? By winning almost every 2020 election in which control of redistricting was at stake.
The bottom line? Assuming the election results hold and a victorious Joe Biden takes the oath of office next January 20th, he and fellow Democrats will be faced with a near-worst case scenario on redistricting, thus control of the House of Representatives for the next decade.
This may qualify as a “victory” for Biden and his people. But is it a “victory” for Democrats?
Sure doesn’t look that way.