As I write this, 431 of the 435 House races have been called and 4 are still, at least theoretically, in doubt.
At this point, Democrat have won 222 house seats and Republican 209. Since 218 is a majority, Democrats will retain control. But Republicans have made major gains.
This means, in the next congress, Democrats have far less latitude in attempting their agenda because if it is too far left (that’s where the party is headed) the risk is that moderate Democrat will break ranks. And not only will it take a lot less of them than in the current congress (which consists of 232 Democrats, 197 Republicans)….
…but, of the remaining 4 seats to be decided, 2 are almost certainly going to be Republican, one is very likely Republican and the other is 50/50.
Assuming 3 of these 4 go Republican, the next congress will be comprised of 223 Democrats and 212 Republicans. The 35-seat bulge Democrats have enjoyed for the last two years, which enabled them to do little in the house other than try to unseat President Trump, will have dwindled to just 11 seats.
Assuming Joe Biden takes office in January, impeachment – Democrats’ main agenda item for the last two years – is a non-issue.
This, in turn, means Pelosi and her pals may actually have to come across with meaningful legislation; legislation that is palatable to more than the Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez/ilhan omar/rashida tlaib/ayanna pressley crowd. Otherwise they risk losing the support of enough moderate Democrats to, in effect, hand Republicans a de facto majority.
Should be interesting.
Oh, one other thing. Again assuming Republicans win 3 of the remaining four races, it means the party has gained 15 seats in an election that the party leader lost.
How can a political party make such strong gains in the same election where the head of its ticket loses?
Sort of makes you wonder, doesn’t it?