As readers of this blog certainly know, I’m no fan of political polls.
But when just about every one of them is moving in the same direction, and individual polls are moving in that direction it is hard not to take notice.
With that in mind, please look at this excerpt, and chart, from Tess Bonn’s article at thehill.com, and see where interest levels for the possible impeachment of President Trump is headed:
Democratic voters appear to be losing interest in House Democrats’ ongoing impeachment inquiry into President Trump, according to a new Hill-HarrisX poll released on Monday.
The number of Democratic voters who say they are paying close attention to the impeachment inquiry fell 5 percentage points to 73 percent in the latest nationwide survey
The amount of independent and GOP voters who are keeping an eye on impeachment also saw a decrease. Fifty-nine percent of independent voters said they are paying attention to the inquiry, while 64 percent of Republicans say the same.
Unlike the prior surveys, the latest one was taken after Democrats held their first public hearing as part of their months-long impeachment inquiry. State Department officials William Taylor and George Kent kicked off the first round of televised hearings earlier this month.
What does it tell Democrats when this poll shows independents, comparatively speaking, are the least likely segment to be paying attention?
Does it tell them that this has declined as an issue to independents? That it never was an issue in the first place? That the results of adam schiff’s “impeachment inquiry” caused them to lose interest?
If you’re a Democrat, which of these possibilities is the good one?
It is entirely possible that, in the face of recent polling, schiff, Pelosi (unwilling though she obviously is), etc., Democrats will push ahead with an impeachment vote anyway – and send it to the Senate for trial, where a) all the Republican witnesses schiff suppressed will be called to testify and b) there is no realistic chance of a conviction.
But, more and more, I am wondering whether they’re trying to figure out a way to leave the accusations against Trump in place without involving the senate at all.
It won’t be easy.