IS THE COVID-19 DEATH RATE SEVERELY INFLATED?

Weeks ago, the Center for Disease Control (CDC) informed us that just 6% of the people who are listed as having died of COVID-19 had no other underlying causes.  Put another way, 94% of the deaths attributed to COVID-19 could have been caused by other physical issues or were a combination of COVID-19 and those issues.

Not surprisingly at all, our media buried this information as if it had no relevance at all.

Now we have a research study from Johns Hopkins University suggesting the COVID-19 death rate is minimal…which also is in the process of being buried.

Excerpted from Matt Margolis’s article at pjmedia.com:

Genevieve Briand, assistant program director of the Applied Economics master’s degree program at Johns Hopkins University, critically analyzed the impact that COVID-19 had on U.S. deaths. According to Briand, the impact of COVID-19 on deaths in the United States can be fully understood by comparing it to the number of total deaths in the country.

According to the study, “in contrast to most people’s assumptions, the number of deaths by COVID-19 is not alarming. In fact, it has relatively no effect on deaths in the United States.”

Wait, what?  Really?

That’s what it says.  And, it should come as no surprise that the study was deleted within days.

Luckily, a back-up copy remains on The Wayback Machine, and we can still read the study.

That certainly got my attention.  So I used the link to look at Ms. Briand’s research, and found these excerpts:

From mid-March to mid-September, U.S. total deaths have reached 1.7 million, of which 200,000, or 12% of total deaths, are COVID-19-related. Instead of looking directly at COVID-19 deaths, Briand focused on total deaths per age group and per cause of death in the U.S. and used this information to shed light on the effects of COVID-19.

Surprisingly, the deaths of older people stayed the same before and after COVID-19. Since COVID-19 mainly affects the elderly, experts expected an increase in the percentage of deaths in older age groups. However, this increase is not seen from the CDC data. In fact, the percentages of deaths among all age groups remain relatively the same. 

“The reason we have a higher number of reported COVID-19 deaths among older individuals than younger individuals is simply because every day in the U.S. older individuals die in higher numbers than younger individuals,” Briand said.

Briand also noted that 50,000 to 70,000 deaths are seen both before and after COVID-19, indicating that this number of deaths was normal long before COVID-19 emerged. Therefore, according to Briand, not only has COVID-19 had no effect on the percentage of deaths of older people, but it has also not increased the total number of deaths. 

These data analyses suggest that in contrast to most people’s assumptions, the number of deaths by COVID-19 is not alarming. In fact, it has relatively no effect on deaths in the United States.

What is Ms. Briand saying?  Simply stated, her contention is that, while the number of people who had COVID-19 and died may be accurate, the preponderance of those deaths were not related to the fact that they had it.

Put another way, if someone has COVID-19 and dies of a heart attack, that person is added to the death total, even if the heart attack had nothing to do with COVID-19.  She/he had it and died, so add one more to the list.

Is this truly the way of things?  Has the COVID-19 pandemic been grossly inflated, dramatically beyond its actual impact?

Frankly, I’m skeptical.  To believe this is to believe that countries around the world which have shown similar COVID-19 totals are doing the same thing; that this is some kind of spontaneous international conspiracy.  That makes these findings nearly impossible to believe.

But, on the other hand, Ms. Briand has those numbers.

In any case, there it is, such as it is.  You have the information and the links.  Decide for yourself.

2 Comments

  • I believe it and so do many others and we have been saying the same thing for most of the last year. I don’t know why they are doing these things, but i do know “they” are doing them.

  • In the 2nd paragraph of Dr. Briand’s newsletter she states, “From mid-March to mid-September, U.S. total deaths have reached 1.7 million”, without mentioning that the corresponding total for 2019 was 1.43 million. That’s almost a 20% increase. Significant, don’t you think?

    All the more surprising, then, that the author concludes, “Total death numbers are not above normal death numbers. We found no evidence to the contrary.”

    Embarrassing. No wonder the newsletter was retracted!

    Deaths from all causes so far this year have *already* reached almost 3 million, compared with about 2.85 million for the whole of last year. And that’s with two weeks left in the year, plus the weeks-long lag in data being reported to the CDC. Total deaths this year will likely reach about 3.2 million. Roughly a 12% increase.

    Source: CDC
    https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Weekly-Counts-of-Deaths-by-State-and-Select-Causes/muzy-jte6

    See for yourself. Download (export) the above spreadsheet and sum ‘All Cause’ deaths for 2020 and Jurisdiction = United States. As of now, the total is 2,999,326.

    Note also the large increase in weekly deaths compared to 2019, beginning in week 13. For example, in week 15 (w/e 11th April), 78,998 Americans died this year vs. 55,636 last year. So much for Dr. Briand’s “Total death numbers are not above normal death numbers.”

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