IF THE POLLS (SO FAR) ARE CORRECT AND FLORIDA IS GOING DEMOCRAT THIS YEAR…

…how do you explain this disparity in mal-in and early voting data?

From Florida’s Division of Elections, as of yesterday:

-Total mail-in ballots provided (whether or not they have been returned:  Republicans:  1,318,192.  Democrats:  1,372,044.

-Total mail-in ballots actually returned:  Republicans:  680,693.  Democrats:  615,960.

As you can see, Democrats received about 54,000 more mail-in ballots than Republicans.  But so far, with less than two weeks until the election, Republicans have mailed in about 65,000 more ballots than Democrats.

And when you add in the early voting (for which Republicans, at 307,093 are also ahead of Democrats, at 299,687) the totals are as follows:

-Republican mail-in/early vote total: 988,616

-Democrat mail-in/early vote total:   915,674

As you can see, the mail-in/early voting statistics, so far, show a much greater participation (you might also call it enthusiasm) rate for Republicans than Democrats.

Does that suggest Republicans are looking into the abyss to you?

Neither I, you or anyone knows whether this disparity will continue from now until election day.  But I do know it exists now.  And that, to me, suggests Florida is far from a Democrat-winning proposition.

November 7th will tell the tale.

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