It’s happening again.
Hillary Clinton takes a sizable lead into a state and, eventually, Bernie Sanders catches and surpasses her.
Wisconsin appears to be the latest “snatch defeat from the jaws of victory” state for Ms. Clinton.
With the primary only four days away, Sanders has leapfrogged Clinton and, according to the just-released Fox News poll, leads her by 48% to 43%.
And before anyone says “Yeah, but that’s Fox and they hate Hillary over there”, please keep in mind that a) Fox isn’t exactly in a canoodling relationship with the self-professed socialist Sanders, and b) in any event, the Public Policy Polling (PPP) poll, conducted about the same time, shows a virtually identical result – Sanders leading Clinton by 49%- 43%.
There is never a guarantee in politics. But taking the above into account, and taking into account that Bernie Sanders has a record of outperforming primary polls when the voting actually takes place, it is an excellent bet that he wins Wisconsin by a good-sized margin.
And if he does, does Ms. Clinton’s current 12% lead in New York really look that solid?
Let’s even take what appears to be the best-case scenario for Hillary Clinton: after losing 6 of the last 7 primaries, she ekes out a win in Wisconsin and does well in a state that elected her to the senate two times…against a minor league politician no one ever heard of until a few months ago.
Does that demonstrate strength to you? Does that suggest she will be a formidable general election candidate?
Republicans have massive problems this year, even worse than Democrats do. But that does not change the fact that Democrats have a huge problem as well. Her name is Hillary.