Let’s start with what, I would think, is a self-evident fact: the Democrat Party cannot win a national election without massive, nearly monolithic Black support – both in terms of the percentages and the turnout rate.
Let’s continue with the fact that Peter Buttigieg, the Mayor of South Bend, Indiana and presidential aspirant, has a major problem with Black voters. Partly it is because, upon taking office, he controversially fired South Bend’s Black police commissioner. Partly it is because he is perceived as badly handling a White cop shooting a Black suspect earlier this year. Partly, it is because his being gay is damaging to a large segment of the Black population (White too, but that’s for another blog).
The point is that, whatever the reasons, Buttigieg must – must – generate more Black support or, even if he wins the nomination he cannot win the general election.
So, with the key South Carolina primary coming up on February 29th, what did several of his supporters there do to remedy Buttigieg’s Black voter problem? They put this out (Note – HBCU stands for Historically Black Colleges and Universities):
Pretty impressive, wouldn’t you say?
Except, it has problems.
Not little or big or major ones, but huge problems, so egregious that they might torpedo his candidacy.
From Ben Mathis-Lilley’s article at slate.com:
The political usefulness of such a document is obvious for Buttigieg, who is polling very poorly with black voters both nationally and in South Carolina, which holds the fourth Democratic primary/caucus and has a majority-black Democratic electorate.
A problem: When the Intercept dug into the endorsement, it found that two of the three top-line black politicians listed say they never endorsed the Douglass Plan, and that at least 40 percent of the other 400 individuals whose names are listed are white.
And in case you think this is just a matter of degree – i.e. the Democrats mentioned favored him without specifically tossing support his way…
…the article goes on to quote Rep. Thigpen and Chairman Cordero, emphatically denying they supported Buttigieg.
So, to summarize, in an effort to boom up Black support in a pivotal state with a large Black population, the Buttigieg people put out a claim of Black support so completely fraudulent that it almost certainly will dog him for the rest of his political life – not just in presidential politics but in everything else he ever runs for.
Bottom line” instead of ameliorating Buttigieg’s already-daunting Black voter problem, this made it far worse.
In the past couple of days, we have read about polling which shows that Buttigieg jumped ahead of the pack in (3% Black) Iowa.
It would not surprise me if he did well in (1% Black) New Hampshire as well.
If these polling data bear out, and Buttigieg jumps to the head of the presidential pack based on those two racially atypical states – the first two with primaries – it could spell catastrophe for Democrat chances in 2020.
Of course, given that the alternatives are scandal-ridden, gaffe-prone Biden and so-far-left-even-Democrats-are-attacking-her Elizabeth Warren and socialist/heart attack Bernie Sanders, maybe, in relative terms, that wouldn’t be so bad after all.