During the 2016 presidential campaign, then-candidate Donald Trump, after pointing out the disastrous condition of a series of urban areas with large Black populations and one-party Democrat Rule, famously told Black voters to consider him because:
“What the hell do you have to lose?”
Well, Trump was elected.
And today’s latest report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics puts Black unemployment at 5.9% – by far, its lowest level in the almost half-century Black unemployment has been monitored.
Does President Trump deserve full credit for the low unemployment levels of Blacks, Latinos (with 0.1% of the all-time low) and the overall population (3.8% – the last time it was lower was December, 1969)?
No, he does not.
But Trump does deserve a lot of the credit. He has been President for 1 1/2 years, and unemployment has dropped significantly during his time in office.
If I were a Republican strategist, I would be reminding Black and Latino voters of these numbers, by comparing them to the much-higher unemployment numbers reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics when Trump took office…
-Overall unemployment dropped from 4.8% to 3.8%;
-Black unemployment dropped from 7.8% to 5.9%;
-Asian unemployment dropped from 3.8% to 2.1%;
-Latino/Hispanic unemployment dropped from 5.9% to 4.9%…
…and repeat that question as a campaign message, but in the form of an answer:
“If you don’t keep President Trump’s Republican majority in congress, THAT’S what you have to lose”
As things now stand, the Republican Senate majority looks safe, and may well increase. But the House majority (which is very much in jeopardy.
Will a message like this be strong enough to turn the votes needed to maintain that majority?
No one can know for sure. But, to me, it looks very powerful.
That, of course, doesn’t mean Republicans will use it. No one ever accused the Republican Party of being especially astute politically.
I suppose find out soon enough.
Oh, one other thing: at most of the so-called “fact- checker” websites (almost all of which are Democrat-friendly venues), an argument is made that Trump does not deserve credit for the record-low unemployment numbers, because the downward trend started under Barack Obama.
There is a lot of truth to those claims. But a) as noted earlier, President Trump had a year and a half to screw this up and the numbers did nothing but continue dropping, and b) as usual, the “facts” are stacked against Trump and in Obama’s favor.
My favorite example is from NBC News, which stated:
President Barack Obama cut black unemployment in half, from 16.8 percent to 7.8 percent during his administration.
Er….NBC forgot to mention that the 16.8% Black unemployment rate was not there when Mr. Obama took office. The unemployment rate at that time was 12.7%.
The 16.8% rate occurred in March, 2010 – over a year after Mr. Obama became President. And as late as August, 2011 – over 2 1/2 years after he became President, it still was at 16.4%.
In fact, the first time President Barack Obama could show a Black unemployment rate below what he inherited from President Bush, was when it dropped to 12.6%…in July, 2013 – 4 1/2 years after he became President and after one entire term with it staying about that level.
You might want to remember this the next time you have any thought about accepting information from a “fact-checker” website.